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Post by Elephant Shrew on May 18, 2022 19:14:36 GMT -5
SEE SAW EFFECT
S E E S A W
E
E
S
A
W
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Post by Elephant Shrew on May 18, 2022 19:22:33 GMT -5
Current state of my alliances:
-Group of 4 called the ''cute crew'' with myself, Pika, Red Panda, and Ermine
-Proposed rodent and rodent-adjacent alliance known as CRRAP (Cult of Rodents and Rodent-Adjacent Pikas), presumably including myself, Capybara, Pika, and Quokka
No clue what the hell Fennec, Cat, and the human are doing right now. I still feel like there's a decently sized alliance I've been left out of.
Lorry is vibing.
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Post by Elephant Shrew on May 18, 2022 19:23:26 GMT -5
I might let Capy live and try to swing for a Human Child vote this round if we lose, i'm not sure yet.
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Post by Elephant Shrew on May 18, 2022 22:23:00 GMT -5
Not to sound cold but having someone like Lorry or Capy with you on a swap is good because they can draw the heat if the other tribe is 100% solid lol
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Post by Elephant Shrew on May 19, 2022 11:53:51 GMT -5
Capybara: *Post offering alliance*
Me: ''Sure that sounds like a good group i'd love to join!''
Capybara: *One word response*
yOU'RE NOT MAKING THIS EASY CAPY
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Post by Elephant Shrew on May 19, 2022 12:20:42 GMT -5
Shrew's sit out bench musings: Currently in official alliances with PIKA, RED PANDA, and ERMINE and then the one with Pika and CAPYBARA. I feel a lot better about the first one because everyone there feels solid whereas Capybara is gonna be targeted for sure if we go to tribal again and IDK if I should put in the effort to keep him, though i'd like him to stay for now. (I already cut Gecko who was ostensibly willing to align with me so I don't really want to cut somebody else in that same vein so soon.) QUOKKA is someone I feel really good about and want to work with. I'm an idiot who doesn't understand animals so I was surprised to see him not included in the rodent cult, but still I hope to stick with him long term. I mean who else is gonna send me things like this?  SAND CAT is a good conversationalist as is FENNEC FOX but the amount of game I've talked with either of them remains nil to this point. HUMAN CHILD seems to be sketching some people out because she knew more about the other tribe's dynamics than you'd expect from someone who was barely there that round, or so she claimed. With a swap maybe coming soon IDK if I trust her enough to keep her past that point. SLOW LORIS do be vibing |
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Post by Elephant Shrew on May 19, 2022 12:31:21 GMT -5
My preferred pecking order right now in a world where we never swap, in order from least likely to go to most likely:
1: Elephant Shrew
2: Pika
3: Red Panda
4: Quokka
5: Ermine
6: Sand Cat
7: Fennec Fox
8: Capybara
9: Slow Loris
10: Human Child
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Post by Elephant Shrew on May 19, 2022 20:17:29 GMT -5
It's time to play a game of..
WHICH DEADBEAT DO WE CUT TODAY?!
OUR LUCKY CONTESTANTS THIS TIME!
Capybara!
and...
Human Child!
Capybara's short messages haven't endeared him to the tribe nor has his low activity level!
But Human Child's even worse lack of activity has harmed her greatly despite higher message quality!
Which deadbeat is Animal Pen getting rid of tonight? Stay tuned, folks!
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Post by Elephant Shrew on May 19, 2022 20:23:52 GMT -5
LORRY has seemingly done a great job getting back into people's good graces because I don't think she's even a target this round. She's pitching the idea of a me/her/Pika/Fox alliance which is pretty interesting at the moment.
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Post by Elephant Shrew on May 19, 2022 23:01:07 GMT -5
Alliance recap before I go to bed:
The Cute Crew: Shrew, Pika, Red, Ermine
The CRRAP: Shrew, Pika, Capy
The 4nimals: Shrew, Pika, Lorry, Fox
I'm honestly worried if any of these people start sharing info me and Pika will be accused of playing multiple sides, BUT Capy and Lorry are the ones who made those specific alliances and I think I trust Red enough right now, so the only ones i'd worry about are Fox and Ermine.
Still looks like a human child vote right now. I feel bad if she really had a covid scare but at this point I think the balls rolling too fast.
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Post by Elephant Shrew on May 19, 2022 23:03:28 GMT -5
Tentatively predicting a swap at 18, but i wouldn't be surprised if it doesn't happen until 16. I'd say this tribe has one more easy boot in Capybara and then it's gonna be a bloodbath so I hope we swap sooner rather than later.
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Post by Elephant Shrew on May 20, 2022 13:20:39 GMT -5
Right now it looks like it might be 8-2 or 7-3 because Quokka prefers a Capy boot and somebody might split in case HC has an idol. I'm considering throwing a hinky vote onto Capybara just in case.
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Post by Elephant Shrew on May 20, 2022 14:49:13 GMT -5
Looks like there’s still a shot at Capy going which which I really don’t find ideal.
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Post by Elephant Shrew on May 20, 2022 14:54:51 GMT -5
Quokka seems to think people are leaning Capy but everyone’s told me HC so that’s really strange. Bamboozle incoming?! Potential smeckledorfing? Stay tuned!
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Post by Elephant Shrew on May 20, 2022 15:49:24 GMT -5
This is a somewhat precarious spot for me because I don't want to alienate Quokka but I also don't really want to keep HC around. Maybe I could work with HC though? I mean I guess she'd be more likely to stick longer than Capy but she's also someone i'm not sure would even be willing to work with me.
Right now the votes are probably looking:
Definitely voting HC: Capybara, Red Panda, Pika, myself
Definitely voting Capybara: HC, Quokka
On the fence: Lorry, Fox, Cat
Lorry is very likely to do whatever Pika wants right now so if she decides to flip over then it's likely a Capy boot this round. I wanna talk to her before doing anything else.
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